{"id":27414,"date":"2025-07-14T09:41:34","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T09:41:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.algebris.com\/?p=27414"},"modified":"2025-07-14T09:46:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T09:46:58","slug":"global-credit-bullets-montag-14-juli-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.algebris.com\/de\/market-views-de\/global-credit-bullets-montag-14-juli-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"GLOBAL CREDIT BULLETS | Montag, 14. Juli 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Z\u00f6lle \u2013 Aktueller Stand der Entwicklungen<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>In der vergangenen Woche wurden mehrere neue Z\u00f6lle eingef\u00fchrt bzw. angedroht. Am vergangenen Samstag k\u00fcndigte Donald Trump in zwei separaten Schreiben die Einf\u00fchrung eines 30%igen Strafzolls gegen\u00fcber der EU und Mexiko an. F\u00fcr brasilianische Exporte ist ein 50%iger Zoll vorgesehen, w\u00e4hrend Kanada mit einem 35%igen Zoll auf Waren, die nicht unter das USMCA-Abkommen (nordamerikanische Handelsabkommen) fallen, konfrontiert ist. Auf Kasachstan und Malaysia wurden 25%ige Z\u00f6lle erhoben, auf S\u00fcdafrika 30\u202f%. Kupfer steht im Fokus eines potenziellen Strafzolls in H\u00f6he von 50\u202f%, w\u00e4hrend auf pharmazeutische Erzeugnisse eine drastische Abgabe von 200\u202f% angestrebt wird. Die ASEAN-Staaten wurden mit Zolltarifen in einer Bandbreite von 25\u202f% bis 36\u202f% belegt. Zus\u00e4tzlich k\u00fcndigte Trump einen einheitlichen Zollsatz von 25\u202f% auf s\u00e4mtliche Importe aus Japan und S\u00fcdkorea an.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:28px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Marktreaktion \u2013 Ged\u00e4mpfte Kursbewegungen, zunehmende Risiken<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Die M\u00e4rkte spiegeln das Ausmass der angek\u00fcndigten und potenziellen Handelsmassnahmen bislang nur unzureichend wider \u2013 insbesondere angesichts der teils sehr aggressiven Zollh\u00f6hen. Die europ\u00e4ischen Aktienm\u00e4rkte er\u00f6ffneten am Montag schw\u00e4cher, ohne jedoch deutliche Kursbewegungen zu zeigen. Im Kupfermarkt zeigt sich eine gewisse Divergenz: Die Preisdifferenz zwischen London und den USA deutet auf eine ungef\u00e4hre Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit von 50\u202f% f\u00fcr die Einf\u00fchrung des Kupferzolls hin. In Brasilien reagierten sowohl der US-Dollar\/BRL-Wechselkurs (USDBRL) als auch die lokalen Zinsm\u00e4rkte zun\u00e4chst mit Abverk\u00e4ufen auf die Ank\u00fcndigung, drehten aber rasch wieder ins Plus. \u00dcbergreifend preisen die Rentenm\u00e4rkte derzeit keine wesentlichen Wachstumsrisiken ein, die sich aus den handelspolitischen Massnahmen ergeben k\u00f6nnten. Auch die Aktienm\u00e4rkte zeigen sich bislang robust und scheinen sowohl das Risiko eines inflationsbedingten Preisschubs als auch die potenziellen Nachfrager\u00fcckg\u00e4nge zu untersch\u00e4tzen. Aus unserer Sicht \u00fcberwiegen die Abw\u00e4rtsrisiken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Algebris Investments&#8217; <em>Global Credit Team<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Z\u00f6lle \u2013 Aktueller Stand der Entwicklungen In der vergangenen Woche wurden mehrere neue Z\u00f6lle eingef\u00fchrt bzw. angedroht. Am vergangenen Samstag k\u00fcndigte Donald Trump in zwei separaten Schreiben die Einf\u00fchrung eines 30%igen Strafzolls gegen\u00fcber der EU und Mexiko an. F\u00fcr brasilianische Exporte ist ein 50%iger Zoll vorgesehen, w\u00e4hrend Kanada mit einem 35%igen Zoll auf Waren, die [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":27409,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[212],"tags":[],"asset-class":[228],"algebris-themes":[278],"class_list":["post-27414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-views-de","asset-class-credit-de","algebris-themes-global-credit-theme-de"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GLOBAL CREDIT BULLETS | Montag, 14. 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