{"id":27775,"date":"2025-09-08T10:27:52","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T10:27:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.algebris.com\/?p=27775"},"modified":"2025-09-09T16:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T16:00:25","slug":"global-credit-bullets-lunedi-8-settembre-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.algebris.com\/it\/market-views-it\/global-credit-bullets-lunedi-8-settembre-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"GLOBAL CREDIT BULLETS | Luned\u00ec, 8 settembre 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>UK \u2013 La spinta fiscale alza l\u2019asticella<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La scorsa settimana i tassi britannici sono stati tra i principali driver del selloff sulla duration, con i rendimenti a 30 anni saliti ai massimi dal 1998. Il movimento \u00e8 stato rafforzato dalle notizie secondo cui il riassetto della squadra di governo di Starmer potrebbe ridimensionare il ruolo di Reeves. Al centro resta la questione fiscale: i costi di rifinanziamento stanno aumentando e con essi cresce la pressione per un aggiustamento dei conti pubblici. La legge di bilancio di novembre sar\u00e0 un passaggio cruciale: un aumento della tassazione appare politicamente pi\u00f9 percorribile rispetto a tagli significativi della spesa. La cancellazione dell\u2019asta di gilt trentennali di mercoled\u00ec ha offerto un momentaneo allentamento della pressione sulla parte lunga della curva. I rendimenti appaiono elevati, ma coerenti con il deterioramento delle prospettive fiscali del Regno Unito, con un rischio concreto di ulteriore peggioramento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:28px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Tassi globali \u2013 Il fattore fiscale si riflette nei mercati<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Come mostrato pi\u00f9 volte dal Regno Unito, ogni volta che emergono preoccupazioni sui conti pubblici, la pressione si concentra sulla parte lunga della curva. Questo schema si sta ormai estendendo alle principali economie, con ripercussioni anche sul mercato valutario. I grandi deficit vengono mantenuti in un contesto di crescita moderata ma prospettive inflazionistiche contenute. Il Regno Unito resta un caso emblematico, ma la riprezzatura dei rendimenti \u00e8 ormai un fenomeno globale. Con i Treasury statunitensi a fare da benchmark, la traiettoria dei rendimenti a lungo termine sembra avere ancora margine di salita.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"508\" src=\"https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1-1024x508.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27790\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1-1024x508.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1-500x248.png 500w, https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1-768x381.png 768w, https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1-1536x762.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.algebris.com\/content\/GCB-2025-09-08-Macro-Outlook-Graph-1.png 1833w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:28px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>BCE \u2013 Fedelt\u00e0 al copione<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nella riunione di settembre, la BCE dovrebbe mantenere invariata la politica monetaria. I recenti commenti mostrano come lo spazio per ulteriori tagli sia considerato molto ristretto. Le ultime pubblicazioni macro hanno riservato poche sorprese, lasciando sostanzialmente inalterate le previsioni. Il mercato appare prezzare una situazione ideale in termini di rischio, ma l\u2019economia dell\u2019eurozona \u00e8 ancora distante da una dinamica di crescita robusta. Riteniamo che ci sia spazio per tagli ai tassi nei prossimi 2 o 3 trimestri, anche se la BCE sembra intenzionata a muoversi con cautela.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:28px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Algebris Investments&#8217; <em>Global Credit Team<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK \u2013 La spinta fiscale alza l\u2019asticella La scorsa settimana i tassi britannici sono stati tra i principali driver del selloff sulla duration, con i rendimenti a 30 anni saliti ai massimi dal 1998. Il movimento \u00e8 stato rafforzato dalle notizie secondo cui il riassetto della squadra di governo di Starmer potrebbe ridimensionare il ruolo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":27773,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[130],"tags":[],"asset-class":[224],"algebris-themes":[235],"class_list":["post-27775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-views-it","asset-class-credit-it","algebris-themes-global-credit-it"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GLOBAL CREDIT BULLETS | Luned\u00ec, 8 settembre 2025 - Algebris Investments<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.algebris.com\/it\/market-views-it\/global-credit-bullets-lunedi-8-settembre-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GLOBAL CREDIT BULLETS | Luned\u00ec, 8 settembre 2025 - Algebris Investments\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"UK \u2013 La spinta fiscale alza l\u2019asticella La scorsa settimana i tassi britannici sono stati tra i principali driver del selloff sulla duration, con i rendimenti a 30 anni saliti ai massimi dal 1998. 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