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UK: Political Uncertainty Shakes Markets Drama erupted last Wednesday as fears mounted over Chancellor Reeves potentially resigning and taking the fiscal package with her. Markets panicked after she was seen crying while filmed on television. Everything started last week with the government’s U-turn on a welfare package that exhausted the remaining fiscal headroom. Long-end UK […]
The global macroeconomic backdrop today appears complex but not without some positive signals. On one hand, there are still signs of deceleration, mainly linked to uncertainty surrounding US trade policy. A symbolic moment was Liberation Day, when the announcement of new tariffs triggered a negative market reaction and fuelled widespread unease. The tariffs introduced a […]
Middle East: A Ceasefire Plunges Oil After the U.S. unleashed massive bunker-buster strikes on Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan on June 21, Iran’s ability to retaliate now appears to have been neutralised. The U.S. imposed a ceasefire on June 23, even as tensions remained high between Tehran and Israel. Brent crude slid below $70 as the […]
FX Impact and Regional Divergences Shape YTD Equity Performance As of June 20, 2025, the S&P 500 posted a +2% year-to-date return. Despite robust EPS growth, the index faced valuation headwinds, with multiples contracting amid heightened uncertainty, in our view. For European investors, however, the S&P 500 showed a -8% YTD return in euro terms, […]
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