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It is difficult to characterise the first half of 2026 in any other way than volatile or complex, with the...
21 July 2026
Keep readingMarket Views Credit Global Credit
Iran – Escalation without an oil shock Recent developments in the Middle East suggest that the memorandum of understanding previously...
20 July 2026
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In the first part of the year, equity markets continued to deliver positive returns. Year to date, the US market...
14 July 2026
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Iran – Neither war nor peace Developments around Iran remain highly uncertain, but the most likely near-term outcome is a...
13 July 2026
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Volatility is likely to rise In the second half of 2026, we expect volatility to rise. As a consequence, we...
7 July 2026
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Central banks – The end of guidance Central banks are moving away from guidance. Warsh’s appearance at the ECB Forum on...
6 July 2026
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Stability remains the central theme The first half of 2026 was dominated by many events and by fast-changing macro assumptions...
30 June 2026
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Fed – Credibility is back The first effects of the Warsh Fed are starting to show across markets, and the...
29 June 2026
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Peace Dividend Building on a year already defined by geopolitical risk and AI excitement, equity markets pushed higher through the...
24 June 2026
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FED – Hawkish debut, less forward guidance Last week, the Federal Reserve kept rates on hold at 3.50%–3.75%, in line...
22 June 2026
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Iran – 14 Points of Agreement Last week’s escalation shifted decisively toward a deal. After days of missile launches, drone...
15 June 2026
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